President Joe Biden appears to be on the back foot, with one of the latest poll results confirming that he is trailing his predecessor Donald Trump. According to the Wall Street Journal’s latest poll, Biden trails Trump by four percentage points in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup. The findings are based on a survey of 1,500 registered voters conducted between November 29 and December 4.
The poll revealed that about 47% of the respondents chose Trump, while 43% sided with Biden. This marks the first time Trump has taken a lead over Biden in the Wall Street Journal’s survey, which has data dating back to November 2021.
However, Trump’s lead over Biden widened to 37% when third-party and independent candidates such as Robert Kennedy Jr., Joe Manchin, Cornel West, Jill Stein, and Lars Mapstead were added as options. This group of candidates took the combined support of 17% of the voters, while 14% of voters said they were undecided.
It is worth noting that voters in the undecided camp leaned toward the Democratic party in other survey questions, indicating that they could still be drawn into the Biden camp in the future.
Another poll conducted by Morning Consult showed that Biden and Trump were tied in a dead heat, with both backed by 43% of the respondents. This suggests that the race between the two candidates is tight and unpredictable.
Biden’s low approval rating and unfavorable image are contributing factors to his trailing position. His job approval rating hit a low of 37%, with 61% seeing his overall image in an unfavorable light. More than 50% of respondents view Bidenomics, the president’s economic policy, unfavorably compared to less than 30% who view it positively.
In contrast, about half of the voters said Trump’s policies helped them personally, while only 37% said they were hurt by his policies during his tenure.
On specific issues such as abortion, Biden had an upper hand over Trump. However, young voters, who are a key demographic for Democrats, have expressed anxiety about inflation. Young adults, along with Black and Latinx voters, are feeling economically stressed and challenged, which may affect their enthusiasm and turnout in the upcoming election.
The poll also found that former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley, though trailing behind Trump by a wide margin in the Republican primary race, led Biden by 17 points in a hypothetical one-on-one race. Several corporate financiers have thrown their weight behind Haley as an alternative to Trump.
Overall, these poll results indicate a challenging road ahead for President Joe Biden as he faces potential competition from Donald Trump and other candidates in the 2024 election. The race remains unpredictable, and much can change in the coming months leading up to the election.